Thursday, February 9, 2017

YEMEN RAID--Insertion & Exfiltration--CALCULUS OF OPS


(KP SHACK)--Following verifies some of the holes in the data available as to how the raid was executed-- (ref: the Somers-Korkie raid)--

To the novice, details such as the type of aircraft, number of US troops, insertion method,  decision cycles, how raids were compromised and how targets are surveilled are juicy tidbits to vicariously participate in these fascinating operations but to the military minded they provide critical clues to the enemy on how to protect themselves and even kill future rescuers.

It’s been widely reported about 40 SEALs inserted six miles from a compound by two Air Force Osprey tilt rotor aircraft from a base in Djibouti or the USS Makin Island off the coast of Yemen.  From there, the SEALs made their way to the objective.  They were discovered only 100 meters from the compound by either a dog barking or while setting up a perimeter by a guard who stumbled on them while looking to relieve himself.

...defense official said about 40 U.S. special forces troops, flown in by tilt-rotor CV-22 Osprey aircraft, had advanced to within 100 meters (yards) of the walled compound where the hostages were held before the defenders were alerted and a firefight started.

They were each shot several times, said the U.S. officials, who declined to be identified. The men were treated by medics but one died during the flight out and another aboard a U.S. ship. No U.S. troops were hurt, they said. The raid lasted about 30 minutes.

ANALYSIS---Due to the fact the captors had threatened to kill the two kidnapped individuals, there was not a great deal of planning in the mission, which is indicated that a barking dog tipped the SEALS' hand just beyond a wall.

Whatever the motivation behind CINC's decision to go in, despite the fact that the modus for the raid appeared to be consistent with other OPS plans, then the enemy didn't need a whole lot of intel to see what was coming, just alert sentries. Combined with the fact that the new administration was barking up the wrong tree when it assumed that similar ops in a place where others failed  would in fact work, would lead not just a seasoned senator to conclude the mission was a flop, but any freshman congressman to draw the same conclusion.

Senator McCain may or may not have had prior knowledge of the details of the raid, since it was in the works since the long lost days of Obama. If he had an opportunity to question its success, he should have done so then, not now. Part of the Senator's frustration appears to be coming from the fact that he wasn't in the loop.



The MV-22 Osprey aircraft (believed to be based at Camp Lemonnier, Djibouti) suffered a hard landing while on a Special Operations Force raid to combat Al’Qaeda in Yemen.
The MV-22 Osprey sent to evacuate the troops wounded in the raid, was unable to fly after the landing and was intentionally destroyed by American airstrikes.

Approximate distance from base to Ops 236 miles.

The three special operations commandos were wounded in a separate incident at the compound, when the MV-22 experienced a hard landing.
“The aircraft did not take enemy fire and did not go down because of hostile action against it,” a US Central Command spokesman wrote in an email to FlightGlobal. “The aircraft was determined to be un-flyable and was then destroyed in place by US forces.”

U.S. Marine MV-22 Ospreys with Marine Medium Tiltrotor Squadron 163 (Reinforced), prepare to takeoff from the flight deck of the amphibious assault ship Makin Island in support of a helo-borne raid during Exercise Alligator Dagger in the Gulf of Aden on Dec. 21, 2016.
Photo Credit: Lance Cpl. Brandon Maldonado/Marine Corps